11.01.2017
Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: Baader (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)
Increase of target price to EUR 44.00
We confirm our Buy rating and increase our target price from EUR 36 to EUR 44. We increase our applied EV/EBITDA from 5.5 towards the long-termaverage of 6.4 because we think that companies with leading market positions and rising FCF and the related rising dividend should derive multiples at the higher end of their long-term band. We base our valuation on 2018/19 (three quarters in 2018) earnings. voestalpine will report ongoing rising EBITDA. Due to the rising depreciation, EBIT will grow less than EBITDA, but declining debt will have a positive effect on the net financial result.
Rising profits and FCF ahead. We expect that rising steel prices, the ramp-up of the HBI plant in Texas and internal measures should support steel margins in the years to come. The ongoing extension of downstream activities should improve profit in the three other areas. We also confirm our view that FCF should increase by EUR 450mn from capex reduction alone.
Valuation: We arrive at our new target price by applying an EV/EBITDA of 6.4 to our 2018/19 estimates which are ~12% above consensus. The related 18/19 P/E of 11.5 (2017/18: 12.2) includes payments for the hybrid. In ourDCF model, we calculate with an increase of the top line from EUR 10.5bn in 2015/16 to EUR 12.7bn until 2020/21, while the target of the management is approximately EUR 15bn. The calculated average EBIT margin is 8.5%, while the targeted margin is 9% over the cycle.
The current contract of CEO Mr. Eder ends 2019. He has positioned voestalpine at the high margin end of the steel industry by focusing on highest quality and an ongoing extension of the value chain. And we think that he likes to show that also the latest high investments are paying off and contributing positively to profit and cash flow.
4815
baader_gibt_voestalpine_um_8_euro_mehr_kursziel
Aktien auf dem Radar:Polytec Group, Palfinger, Immofinanz, Warimpex, Flughafen Wien, Austriacard Holdings AG, Rosgix, Verbund, RBI, Porr, Frequentis, Addiko Bank, AT&S, Cleen Energy, Gurktaler AG Stamm, SBO, SW Umwelttechnik, Oberbank AG Stamm, Marinomed Biotech, Agrana, Amag, CA Immo, Erste Group, EVN, FACC, Kapsch TrafficCom, OMV, Österreichische Post, Telekom Austria, Uniqa, VIG.
(BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)159093
inbox_baader_gibt_voestalpine_um_8_euro_mehr_kursziel
Strabag
Strabag SE ist ein europäischer Technologiekonzern für Baudienstleistungen. Das Angebot umfasst sämtliche Bereiche der Bauindustrie und deckt die gesamte Bauwertschöpfungskette ab. Durch das Engagement der knapp 72.000 MitarbeiterInnen erwirtschaftet das Unternehmen jährlich eine Leistung von rund 14 Mrd. Euro (Stand 06/17).
>> Besuchen Sie 68 weitere Partner auf boerse-social.com/goboersewien
11.01.2017, 3237 Zeichen
11.01.2017
Zugemailt von / gefunden bei: Baader (BSN-Hinweis: Lauftext im Original des Aussenders, Titel (immer) und Bebilderung (oft) durch boerse-social.com aus dem Fotoarchiv von photaq.com)
Increase of target price to EUR 44.00
We confirm our Buy rating and increase our target price from EUR 36 to EUR 44. We increase our applied EV/EBITDA from 5.5 towards the long-termaverage of 6.4 because we think that companies with leading market positions and rising FCF and the related rising dividend should derive multiples at the higher end of their long-term band. We base our valuation on 2018/19 (three quarters in 2018) earnings. voestalpine will report ongoing rising EBITDA. Due to the rising depreciation, EBIT will grow less than EBITDA, but declining debt will have a positive effect on the net financial result.
Rising profits and FCF ahead. We expect that rising steel prices, the ramp-up of the HBI plant in Texas and internal measures should support steel margins in the years to come. The ongoing extension of downstream activities should improve profit in the three other areas. We also confirm our view that FCF should increase by EUR 450mn from capex reduction alone.
Valuation: We arrive at our new target price by applying an EV/EBITDA of 6.4 to our 2018/19 estimates which are ~12% above consensus. The related 18/19 P/E of 11.5 (2017/18: 12.2) includes payments for the hybrid. In ourDCF model, we calculate with an increase of the top line from EUR 10.5bn in 2015/16 to EUR 12.7bn until 2020/21, while the target of the management is approximately EUR 15bn. The calculated average EBIT margin is 8.5%, while the targeted margin is 9% over the cycle.
The current contract of CEO Mr. Eder ends 2019. He has positioned voestalpine at the high margin end of the steel industry by focusing on highest quality and an ongoing extension of the value chain. And we think that he likes to show that also the latest high investments are paying off and contributing positively to profit and cash flow.
4815
baader_gibt_voestalpine_um_8_euro_mehr_kursziel
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